Housing Stimulus Bill to Pass the Senate Next Tuesday With Hardly Any Help for Homeowners

Yesterday afternoon, the Senate cleared the way to pass a $14.9 b. housing stimulus bill, H.R.3221, next Tuesday, that won't stimulate housing much.  They did that by killling Senator Durbin's (D-IL) amendment to give bankruptcy judges the power to rewrite first mortgages.  That was a deal-breaker for the mortgage lending industry.  It was also the only thing that might have helped those facing foreclosure, albeit as the cost of raising future mortgage interest rates for the increased risk that future mortgages might be written down.

The real beneficiaries of this bill are the housing industry. Homebuilders and other firms that support housing, including the mortgage lenders who brought this crisis on us, will get to "carry back" their 2008 and 2009 losses to the prior four years.  If they paid tax over the past four years, this amounts to instant cash for them, and a lot of it: $1 b. by the end of Septemer, $16.7 b. in fiscal year 2009, and $7.9 b. in fiscal year 2010.

Those facing foreclosure get no instant cash.  They get a measly $100 m. of additional counselors to talk to.  Those counselors have been woefully unable to stem the tide of at least 2 m. foreclosures so far.  Last night, the Senate voted down Senator Murray's (D-WA) amendment to add another $100 m. for counseling.

The bill also contains a $10 b. increase in the cap on state revenue bonds so states can buy up foreclosed homes.  Another $4 b. would go to state and local authorities to renovate abandoned and foreclosed homes.

A tax credit of up to $7,000 would go to new homebuyers of foreclosed homes or homes that have just been built.  This was Senator Isakson's (R-GA) proposal, S.2566, the centerpiece of the Republican's part of this bill.

Finally, non-itemizers would get to deduct their property taxes for this year up to $500 for singles and $1,000 for couples, but only if those taxes are not increased during the rest of this year.  Republicans hope to extend this and make it permanent in the future.

Details were posted by the Senate Finance Committee late Wednesday. 

You might ask why the Senate is doing this? Well, they don't have a lot of money with the deficit rising so fast, and that's as much as they think President Bush will sign.  Many Senators in both parties want to help homeowners facing foreclosure, but they can't muster the votes to put them ahead of the housing industry.  Homeowners facing foreclosure don't get to as many senatorial fundraisers as those in the housing industry do.

Counting money and votes

"Homeowners facing foreclosure don't get to as many senatorial fundraisers as those in the housing industry do." But they do vote. So do their neighbors. I'm not in foreclosure but my assessed property value just dropped 30K (we just got the notices) and that's probably light. When foreclosures happen in my town it affects everybody's property value. Until Congress does something about that we're all kinda pissed at the incumbents. We have more votes than the housing industry lobbyists control.

The House

The House will not pass this bill in the same form; they will use it as a club and get what they want in conference. It will still contain the dreadful corporate socialism, and also add in some nice private moral hazards to boot. I hope it just gets tied up in knots and nothing happens. My sympathy for people who have paper losses is low; those who could never afford their expected payments even lower. And the shareholders of the banks/mortgage companies? They could all lose everything tomorrow and I couldn't care less. ..a little poverty would suit them. A pox on all their houses. (that's a really lame pun, sorry)

Shareholders of banks/mortgage companies

Aren't those the widows and orphans? Wasn't the deregulation and lack of oversight that made this mess the bigger moral hazard? A little poverty is causing a little exodus . . . but then again maybe that's ok too. Economic vitality and the financial sector can be sustained with whoever is left holding the bag ??

housing

"They did that by killling Senator Durbin's (D-IL) amendment to give bankruptcy judges the power to rewrite first mortgages." Most foreclosures are done in county common pleas courts and get nowhere near a bankruptcy court. Changing the bankruptcy rules would have almost no impact on the foreclosure problem. Why don't politicians and economists and journalists and bloggers understand this? Why don't they do some homework? Or do they want to flood the courts with new cases in a desperate attempt to stop the foreclosure flood? When your car has a flat tire, you do not change the spark plugs.

Bankruptcy

I disagree with Rustbelt concerning the foreclosure/bankruptcy issue. Over the last 5 years, as credit card interest went way past usurous, far to many homeowners fell prey to the marketing call to "reduce your interest payments on credit cards--- consolidate with one low monthly payment-- refinance at attractive rates now!" and thereby encumbered their home with credit card (and medical and student and and and) debt. As Americans remain intellectually backward and naive, many did not comprehend the mortgages (20 pages?) they were signing, did not have an attorney at their side (you don't need an attorney, the title company will represent you- hah!) or the impact of adjustable rate mortgages. Many refinancers were also ill advised by mortgage broker counsel that they really had no reason to worry, before the rates go up, you can either re-fi at better rates, or sell your house for a fortune. However, I digress. Bankruptcy remains the avenue for working persons to alleviate their debt. That debt is very much tied into homeownership. Bankruptcy Courts will continue to experience a huge surge in filings due to the consolidation of debt resulting in mortgaging of one's home.

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