The Economy Is Not a National Pie-Eating Contest
I should start by saying that I do not favor extending any part of the Bush-era tax cuts. (See this post.) So I am even less in the Republican camp on this one than the politicians Nicholas Kristof criticizes in this column, which he begins by comparing our distribution of income to those of banana republics. But I just can't let statements like this go:
In my reporting, I regularly travel to banana republics notorious for their inequality. In some of these plutocracies, the richest 1 percent of the population gobbles up 20 percent of the national pie.
But guess what? You no longer need to travel to distant and dangerous countries to observe such rapacious inequality. We now have it right here at home — and in the aftermath of Tuesday’s election, it may get worse.
The richest 1 percent of Americans now take home almost 24 percent of income, up from almost 9 percent in 1976.
To gobble something is to eat it hastily in large gulps. The phrase casts income as something that is consumed, not as something that is produced. Maybe that's true in banana republics, but plenty of people among the richest 1 percent of Americans didn't defraud anybody in order to produce their incomes. Do I feel oppressed that I made Steve Jobs richer by buying an iPad? Of course not. Do I feel cheated by the Walton family that I enriched them by shopping at Wal-Mart? Again, no. I don't even think it is unfair that Ken Griffin makes money by out-trading the institutional investors that manage my retirement portfolio -- I'm just sorry (but not jealous) that I don't have enough money to invest in Citadel so I could be on the winning side of those trades.
I do get angry at some aspects of what's happening with the richest 1 percent. When they exploit campaign finance loopholes to effectively bribe politicians into giving them special treatment, my blood boils. (The taxation of carried interest for hedge fund managers like Griffin is an example.) And I think we should put a swift end to it. When the heads of the major investment banks hoodwink their buddies on the SEC to let them double and triple their bets, pay themselves record bonuses, and then get bailed out with public money, I can't stand it. But these are failures of regulation and taxation, not production.
We don't need a tax system that goes out of its way to punish success. We need a tax system that will raise enough revenue at a business cycle peak to run a surplus. Given the unwillingness of politicians to cut spending, that means we need higher tax revenues and thus higher tax rates.
We do not need to discourage the inequality that comes from productive people profiting by selling the goods and services they produce to people who voluntarily buy them. We need to discourage the inequality that comes from peddling influence.

Bites of Pie
Back in 1976 there were plenty of innovative people getting rich, they were just paying their workers more, so that they were getting a bit less rich.
I don't feel bad or mad that Walmart made Sam Walton rich, I feel frustrated by the fact that the average worker has no leverage these days to get a bit of the money that used to be given to them, but that now the top 1% get (and yes, maybe even "gobble").
Stagnant income is a myth, and you ignore productivity increases
Because official measurements don't count worker benefits.
And you are completely ignoring productivity benefits. The guy sweeping the floor hasn't improved his productivity much, if at all, since 1976. However, the people who developed and maintain Walmart's inventory management system probably increased overall profit to Walmart by many multiples of their yearly salary. So why *shouldn't* these people see their income rise while the janitor remains stuck at his current relative salary?
workers benefits ?!
Workers benefits have been on the decline for 30 years now.
Worker benefits?
Really? Where's your data?
Here's mine:
http://healthcare-economist.com/2010/06/02/over-the-last-15-years-income...
http://spreadsheets.google.com/a/google.com/pub?key=tC3AuD-bsgdg9KkyiA-n...
The spreadsheet shows that from 1995 to 2008, when you include total worker benefits, increased faster among the those with lower overall income than those with more income. This was *primarily* due to increases in health care benefits!
" Do I feel cheated by the
" Do I feel cheated by the Walton family that I enriched them by shopping at Wal-Mart?"
The employees seem to feel cheated since they file lawsuits quite frequently.
A dissent
For a respectful disagreement, go here:
http://snipurl.com/1f3jq5
[underbelly-buce_blogspot_com]
Very respectful, not much disagreement
Thanks -- I liked your post very much, particularly the statement about rewriting the rulebook. Always a pleasure to dialogue (diablog?) with you.
I think we differ on matters of degree in some places -- like how progressive the tax code should be beyond just letting the tax cuts expire in the near future and how large of an estate tax we should have. We probably disagree on the relative importance of the legitimate versus nefarious mechanisms for getting into and staying in the category of the richest 1%. (This is where you say that I am missing the forest for the trees.) I don't think we disagree about how hard public policy should fight against the latter. For example, I haven't seen many others to my left or right take the same stand on campaign finance that I reference in the post above.
fix the tax code...
Borrowing to support tax cuts is a bad idea.
Another bad idea is to raise taxes while spending continues to increase.
Another bad idea is failing to address the number of those with zero or negative tax liabilities.
http://mjperry.blogspot.com/2009/12/almost-4-out-of-10-americans-paid-no...
The economy is not a national pie eating contest
I just took a small poll.
It is too!
:)
Inequality in the US
The website Inequality.org has a summary of income trends among American households from 1947 to 2005
Rise and Fall of the Middle Class: 1947-2005
http://blog.sustainablemiddleclass.com/?p=393
I-bankers, Hedge Fund Managers, and Consultants?
You neglect to mention the vast majority of people in finance that make a killing doing things that provide absolutely no real use to the average person in the U.S. or the world. On the contrary the financial crisis has shown just how destructive they can be to all of us.
Wealth, Income, and Power
In the United States, wealth is highly concentrated in a relatively few hands. As of 2007, the top 1% of households (the upper class) owned 34.6% of all privately held wealth, and the next 19% (the managerial, professional, and small business stratum) had 50.5%, which means that just 20% of the people owned a remarkable 85%, leaving only 15% of the wealth for the bottom 80% (wage and salary workers).
In terms of financial wealth (total net worth minus the value of one's home), the top 1% of households had an even greater share: 42.7%. Table 1 and Figure 1 present further details drawn from the careful work of economist Edward N. Wolff at New York University (2010).
http://sociology.ucsc.edu/whorulesamerica/power/wealth.html
"But these are failures of
"But these are failures of regulation and taxation, not production."
No, they are failures caused by the progressive agenda and their push for ever bigger government. Once government has the power to decide which businesses win and which ones lose, then economic rent seeking starts to become an attractive and eventually necessary activity for business.
Don't let the government meddle in business and business won't need to meddle in return.
Bullmarkey. We had a much
Bullmarkey. We had a much better and more robust and innovative economy back in the 1990's, when there were many more regulations on business. You lie.
Boiling the Middle Class Frog
There hasn't been enough middle class suffering yet for anything to be done about this. We are still at the frogboiling stage of the process.
Too many people are still envious and respectful of great wealth, and buy into the myth that it is the result of brilliance, entrepeneurship, inspired risk taking and such. Before anything will happen, the roles of luck, inherited advantage, rent seeking parasitic adventurism, and proto-criminal abuse of agency relationships must come to be sensed (not analytically, of course, but in the country's collective gut).
Right now the rage and discontent is pretty diffuse. A bunch of one term sherms will blow into town in January as the biggest Republican freshman class in the history of the House. They strike me as pretty unlikely change agents. But I've been wrong before.
income
The meaning of the word 'income' shifts as income levels increase. At a some level, it no longer means the money you use to cover your current and future living costs. When Bill Gates and the like receive an extra few billion, they don't say: "Great, now at last I can afford that new car/boat/plane that I've always wanted." Instead, it just increases the amount of money that they have available to invest. The question is whether the wider good is better served by Bill Gates making those investment decisions or government employees deploying that money after it is taxed away.
But isn't it natural to buy political influence with money?
I am in agreement with Andrew Samwick in theory. It seems what is most important to me is that the well-being of the everyday citizens is good in terms of food, shelter, clothing, education, medical care, leisure, and other things that improve well-being. Companies like Wal-Mart and Apple clearly make life better for most people to the extent that they deliver good products at lower prices or innovate and invent product categories that never existed before. There should be some reward for these activities.
I mean, certainly there are reasons to object to inequality. It is possible, for example, that someone who is wealthy can harm someone who is less so by driving up the prices of goods so that the person with average income could not afford them. But happily, for most goods, this isn't too much of a problem. Wealthy people do not consume unlimited numbers of tooth brushes or iPads or computers. They are generally satiated after buying a few of these goods. Thus, their consumption does not drive up the price. There are some problems with gentrification, of course, as when people find that they are no longer able to live in neighborhoods where their parents lived, as richer neighbors move in. So, there are certainly some negative stories with inequality, but for most goods and services, the consumption of the rich do not make people worse off.
I suppose it should be mentioned that there are also psychological aspects to inequality that shouldn't be entirely discounted either. We should certainly take critiques of accumulation, which perhaps originated with Veblen, seriously as well. When you have, as in modern America, all of this marketing and a commercial culture that glorifies wealth, many people seem to become unhappy because they do not have "things" that they really do not need and probably would not desire except in a social context. Corporate America spends countless dollars bombarding people with commercials that convince many people that they need things that they really do not, and I think a considerable amount of unhappiness results. I have seen this happen. I think we all have. So, there may be something to be said for a culture that glorifies people for their unique qualities more and for what they happen to own or possess less. I think such a cultural change could be facilitated, perhaps, by higher tax rates which would discourage accumulation beyond a certain level.
Now, acknowledging that there are some harms to inequality, is it worth combatting them? I certainly would not want to do anything that would discourage Steve Jobs from innovating, for example. But, is your average high-income CEO really a Steve Jobs? I happen to think that the truly innovative people are driven by passion, not merely money. Especially since I am quite sure that Steve Jobs would not even know how to begin to spend his money on personal consumption. Steve Jobs is driven by a passion for computing and innovating and seeing his creations turned into reality. It is much more than money that motivates him. So, we shouldn't necessarily assume that the costs in terms of innovation of curtailing inequality to some degree would be overwhelming. Indeed, it seems likely that if we took tax revenue used from taxing "conspicuous consumption" and used it to finance research and development, we could have more innovation on net.
All that said, if these were the only risks arising from inequality, I would agree with Andrew Samwick. I think people need to try to put their more superficial and usually unrealistic desires for ever more "things" in check and learn to pursue excellence using their own special talents. Maybe I and Andrew Samwick are holding people to an unrealistic standard when we expect them to not be unhappy because they cannot indulge in the conspicuous consumption that they see others indulging in... Not everyone has my personality, people are social animals, and corporations spend countless millions glorifying conspicuous consumption. But still, at least for now, this is the standard we should hope that people strive too. Of course, there may be some serious negative externalities when people fail in this. When people buy more house than they can really afford, doesn't this contribute to financial crises that affects those who do have the inclination and/or self-discipline to consume beyond our incomes?
Anyway, the case is not a complete slam dunk, but I am in agreement. We should all pursue our own lives and interests and not worry so much about what other people have or do not have. It is true that people who desire more than they can afford and spend accordingly cause negative externalities (i.e. by bidding up the price of housing and contributing to a housing bubble for example) or when they go bankrupt or fail to pay their debt, which increases the price of credit for those more responsible with their credit to some degree. But, I am frankly not sure we should accommodate such imperfections. Not being able to control your desires, even if such desires are in part created by our commercial culture which constantly barrages us with images making conspicuous consumption seem desirable and identity affirming, is a sort of flaw. People would be better off if they learned to simply resist such imagery. Should the unhappiness that people experience because they are flawed "count" for policy purposes? I am not sure.
But here is my real argument against what I infer to be Andrew Samwick's position that we should be concerned only with absolute measures of income rather than relative measures. I believe that those with wealth naturally tend to buy influence in our political system. I guess when it comes to our civic system, I think we should all be considered "equal." We do not give people more votes just because they have more income or wealth. We used to have minimum property requirements for voting or holding office, but we have long ago abandoned such distinctions between citizens. A rich person and an average citizen each get just one vote. The ideal, I think, is that the interests of the average citizen in our civic system is just as important as the interests of the wealthy citizen. But this ideal seems to be violated on a regular basis as those with more wealth have more influence in our political life, just as they have more power to get what they want from our market economy.
But, obviously, much worse is rent-seeking. That is, when someone has a stream of income somehow tied to government policy, and those people then take a portion of that income to protect that income stream. For example, companies who lobby for wasteful agricultural subsidies that distort our markets. Or companies that try to extend copyrights to unreasonable periods in order to protect Mickey Mouse. I could go on. I think instances of rent-seeking are legion, and their are constituencies on both the left and the right. I think that Andrew Samwick and I would agree that rent-seeking is the much more pernicious problem than the wealthy having a somewhat disproportionate influence. It seems to me that there are wealthy people on both the left and right side of aisle, and they tend to cancel each other out to some degree. But, when a company or industry has an iron grip on an unjustified stream of income at public expense, there is often no countervailing force. The interests of the "special interest" are concentrated; the interest of the general public is diluted. The special interest has the incentive, the money, and the time to monitor political developments concerning their rent-seeking. The general public does not have the time or money to effectively monitor such nitty gritty political developments.
While Andrew Samwick also sees rent-seeking as pernicious, I think he hasn't considered the ultimate motive. The ultimate motive often is "conspicuous consumption." Why would those who control an industry insist on trying to corrupt the system in order to extract rents? These people are not poor. They would not generally live in poverty if they lost their income from rent-seeking. This sort of rent-seeking has a lot to do with the people in control of these industries and companies trying to construct their identity around earning as much money as possible. If you raised marginal tax rates on such people, they would have less incentive to engage in rent-seeking.
Overall, I think a lot of what motivates people in their economic lives is disconnected from anything remotely necessary for survival. It is always wanting more. One does not feel adequate, except as measured by stuff that they do not really need. I am not sure that curtailing this through higher tax rates would be a bad thing. I suspect that the truly passionate and dedicated (like Steve Jobs) are not really in it for the money. I don't think the truly best people in any field are in it primarily for the money. I therefore think that the horrors that are predicated by higher marginal tax rates are overstated.
Also, when we have out-sized rewards for certain professions, we have graduates flocking to those graduates even if this is not the socially most valuable place for them to be. For example, a huge percentage of Harvard graduates have majored in economics with the intention of going to Wall Street in order to get rich. But to what extent is what happens on Wall Street productive? Are these very smart people with tons of intellectual potential making the best use of their talents working in such positions, or would we be socially better off if they used their talents as engineers or teachers or social workers or cancer researchers? It seems to me that another high cost of status competitions based on conspicuous consumption is the potential of a "brain drain" from more valuable but less profitable activities to activities that are perhaps less valuable but more profitable. It seems that higher marginal tax rates on higher incomes would dampen some of this status competition and cause people to consider their profession more on their own ability to contribute and less on the financial awards. Of course, I suppose the thought that a Harvard graduate with crazy good math skills might make a more valuable contribution as a cancer researcher than a Wall Street executive is somewhat speculative. How do you measure relative contributions from the two career paths? Still, my sense is that the incomes on Wall Street are quite inflated relative to the social contribution of those earning those incomes.
Here is what makes me think twice about this. It seems that there are a lot of rich people who devote themselves to doing things that governments do not do nearly as well. I am thinking of the Gates Foundation, as an example. I am certainly glad that Bill Gates has made every dollar he has made, but that is because he has decided to do something truly worthy with it and because I believe that he is likely to be much more effective than any government would be, given that a government is likely to be tied down by bureaucracy.
The bottom-line is that with increased inequality, we may get a lot of wasted energy wasted in pointless and zero sum status games associated with conspicuous consumption. But then we also get those who, like Bill Gates, have moved beyond conspicuous consumption and who direct their resources in a public-spirited manner more efficiently and effectively than any government would probably do. (I am not saying that government cannot do these missions; only that given the way we tend to smother our governments with red tape, it is very difficult for people working for these institutions to be as effective as they could be, dollar for dollar.)
So, I guess my bottom-line position is actually ultimately the same as Andrew Samwick's position. But I think the case is much more complicated and contingent. I think there is a reason to be concerned about increased economic inequality. I also think that the idea that you can really take many steps to lessen influence peddling without tackling the problem of economic inequality and the associated culture of conspicuous consumption is very questionable.
carried interest
Many of us effect by changes to carried interest are small businesses, particularly in real estate. We did invest capital to pay the front end costs in setting up a partnership, legal, accounting, etc. but had that money paid back as a no interest rate loan by the limited partners becasue we reilied on the rules in place which taxed carreid interest as capital gains. To not grandfather in the old deals is very unfair.
Start up Costs and Carrried Interest
You are way off the mark when you contend that the carried interest rules are needed to account for business start up costs of partnerships incurred by founding partners. Generally, start up costs for any type of business, including partnerships, are amortizable over a 180 month period and small businesses can elect to deduct up to $5,000 immediately. See, IRC Secs. 248 and 709. It would be permissable, for example, to have a partnership special allocation to the founding general partner(s) such that the deductions for these costs are allocated exclusively to these founding partners and the start up costs are recovered (at ordinary tax rates) on dissolution of the partnership. Alternatively, the new partners could reimburse such costs upon entering the partnership and share in the amortization for such costs ratably. Your comment that you need capital gain treatment ultimately on a gain that far outweighs these initial costs indicates to me that you are not being particularly honest in your discussion of the tax policy of "carried interest". Why should these partners be entitled to more favorable tax treatment for start-up costs than any other businsess person?
Definition of banana republic
A banana republic is one that does not respect private property rights. See Venezuela.
It is very easy to have high levels of income equality when everyone is poor.
People risk their lives to come to the US because they know they can make more here, because the respect for private property rights allows capital to accumulate to make them more productive, even when they are are doing "menial" jobs that help more skilled workers able to specialize more.
But do you actually believe that marginal changes in income tax will change US income inequality significantly? That it will make the guy who only has the skills to serve your fast food equal in on income to a microchip designer, corporate lawyer, or NFL football player?
Progressive income taxation makes sense only in terms of "that is where the money is at" and it's ease. It is not inherently more moral, and clearly not as economically efficient as a nationwide sales tax, but a lot more practical.